Abstract
This study examines the relationship between left-tail risk and stock return in the Korean stock markets and ascertains whether there is a left-tail momentum phenomenon in which stocks with high left-tail risk have lower investment performance than those with low left-tail risk (Atilgan et al., 2020). The results reveal that left-tail risk has a significant negative relationship with stock returns for future holding periods and that the left-tail momentum is strongly observed in the Korean stock markets. The excess return of the Fama-French 3-factor model of the decile portfolio-based (H-L) zero-cost investment strategy using left-tail risk has a significant value of-0.67% to-0.73% per month on average. These results are robust even after controlling for changes in the left-tail risk measures or key related variables that could affect the left-tail momentum. In addition, the left-tail momentum has explanatory power regarding the fluctuations of stock returns independent of Fama-French 3-factors.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 693-728 |
Number of pages | 36 |
Journal | Korean Journal of Financial Studies |
Volume | 51 |
Issue number | 6 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Dec 2022 |
Keywords
- Expected Shortfall
- Firm Characteristics
- Left-tail Momentum
- Left-tail Risk
- Value-at-Risk