Probabilistic ultimate lateral capacity of two-pile groups in spatially random clay

The undrained lateral capacity of a group of two side-by-side piles has been studied in uniform clay, but the effect of spatial variability in clay strength on lateral pile capacity remains unclear. This paper describes probabilistic ultimate lateral capacity for two circular piles in spatially variable undrained clay. An adaptive finite element limit analysis based on random field generation combined with Monte Carlo simulations is applied. The lateral capacity statistics of two-pile groups with different combinations of pile spacings and pile roughness are presented. It is found that the consideration of the random nature of clay strength leads to a significant decrease in the lateral pile capacity, especially at a pile spacing approximately equal to the pile diameter. The factor of safety required to attain a target probability of failure is provided as a function of pile spacing. The obtained results give guidance for the reliability-based design of laterally-loaded two-pile groups in spatially varied clay and can also be applicable for understanding the lateral translation of two interfering cables and pipelines deeply buried in random clay.