Trajectory Imputation in Multi-agent Sports with Derivative-Accumulating Self-ensemble

  • Han Jun Choi
  • , Hyunsung Kim
  • , Minho Lee
  • , Minchul Jeong
  • , Changjo Kim
  • , Jinsung Yoon
  • , Sang Ki Ko

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

Multi-agent trajectory data collected from domains such as team sports often suffer from missing values due to various factors. While many imputation methods have been proposed for spatiotemporal data, they are ill-suited for multi-agent sports, where player movements are highly dynamic and interactions evolve over time. To address these challenges, we propose MIDAS (Multi-agent Imputer with Derivative-Accumulating Self-ensemble), a data-efficient framework that imputes multi-agent trajectories with high accuracy and physical plausibility. It jointly predicts positions, velocities, and accelerations via a Set Transformer-based neural network and refines them by recursively accumulating predicted velocity and acceleration values. These predictions are then combined using a learnable weighted ensemble to produce final imputed trajectories. Experiments on three sports datasets show that MIDAS significantly outperforms existing baselines, with particularly large margins in limited-data settings. We also demonstrate its utility in downstream tasks such as estimating total distance and pass success probability. The source code is available at https://github.com/gkswns95/midas.git.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationMachine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases. Applied Data Science Track and Demo Track - European Conference, ECML PKDD 2025, Proceedings
EditorsInês Dutra, Alípio M. Jorge, Carlos Soares, João Gama, Mykola Pechenizkiy, Paulo Cortez, Sepideh Pashami, Arian Pasquali, Nuno Moniz, Pedro H. Abreu
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages336-353
Number of pages18
ISBN (Print)9783032061287
DOIs
StatePublished - 2026
EventEuropean Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases, ECML PKDD 2025 - Porto, Portugal
Duration: 15 Sep 202519 Sep 2025

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science
Volume16022
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

ConferenceEuropean Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases, ECML PKDD 2025
Country/TerritoryPortugal
CityPorto
Period15/09/2519/09/25

Keywords

  • Deep Learning under Physical Constraints
  • Multi-Agent System
  • Sports Analytics
  • Trajectory Imputation
  • Weighted Ensemble

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