Whimsical or coherent offers in negotiation under incomplete information: A real option approach

Moon Yongma, Yao Tao

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperpeer-review

Abstract

This article proposes a quantitative model to explain how human behavior affects a bilateral negotiation agreement under incomplete information and provides theoretical basis to support decisions with equilibrium information. A real option approach is applied to our model to represent incomplete information in the negotiation such as uncertain value of goods, strategic deferment, and decisional irreversibility of a competitor. This approach allows us to develop the conditions and probability of a negotiation agreement in analytical form solution. Numerical analysis shows that the probability is generally maximized when a seller offers prices whimsically and a buyer offers coherently.

Original languageEnglish
Pages1874-1879
Number of pages6
StatePublished - 2008
EventIIE Annual Conference and Expo 2008 - Vancouver, BC, Canada
Duration: 17 May 200821 May 2008

Conference

ConferenceIIE Annual Conference and Expo 2008
Country/TerritoryCanada
CityVancouver, BC
Period17/05/0821/05/08

Keywords

  • Incomplete information
  • Negotiation
  • Optimal timing
  • Real option

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